Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 21.625021 25.389480 29.999663 36.195894 44.529898 55.712974 72.555730
2025-01-05 16.632269 20.709436 26.203161 34.506110 47.483374 68.596792 110.120829
2025-01-12 13.623344 17.503198 23.012427 31.926871 47.233595 75.680764 144.936351
2025-01-19 11.692230 15.355498 20.755103 29.944119 46.917912 82.170727 187.201653
2025-01-26 11.705311 15.954302 22.634256 35.084122 61.542889 131.130989 484.321829
2025-02-02 11.167568 15.607223 22.903910 37.426932 71.849130 183.472035 1296.953686
2025-02-09 10.087861 14.251172 21.227632 35.529451 71.215073 200.178295 2313.020138
2025-02-16 9.670465 13.917093 21.276936 37.179450 80.838010 277.808286 23181.490057
2025-02-23 9.137299 13.323247 20.754898 37.445968 86.783117 356.997175 NaN
2025-03-02 8.635095 12.728336 20.143260 37.356184 91.692950 452.766722 NaN
2025-03-09 8.261372 12.319308 19.831463 37.915284 99.468096 626.014529 NaN
2025-03-16 7.709988 11.547730 18.711359 36.200849 97.552007 684.900164 NaN
2025-03-23 7.322025 11.071998 18.199799 36.154017 103.620424 965.699648 NaN
2025-03-30 6.828149 10.367825 17.148965 34.466066 101.595967 1096.780523 NaN
2025-04-06 6.307816 9.580646 15.854192 31.891260 94.203348 1028.736148 NaN
2025-04-13 5.881928 8.943468 14.824162 29.911771 89.026775 1014.075380 NaN
2025-04-20 6.051997 9.420750 16.191697 35.043102 125.217488 6746.438337 NaN
2025-04-27 5.981728 9.435353 16.559278 37.381737 150.911272 341236.775768 NaN
2025-05-04 5.650138 8.919965 15.676189 35.487648 144.486027 887372.407587 NaN
2025-05-11 5.556458 8.864130 15.841476 37.134703 168.719377 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 5.389653 8.651464 15.617729 37.400739 182.484621 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 5.215977 8.414049 15.312086 37.311117 193.395492 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 5.086579 8.257952 15.187211 37.869202 213.489978 NaN NaN